(1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a “posthuman” stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation.Personally, I don't think we are a simulation. If we are, then we should find the evidence someday, but that is possible only if there are imperfections in our simulation, or clear clues that our "reality" isn't as real as we thought. If, however, the simulation is so good as to be indistinguishable from the historical reality it imitates, then there is no way we can ever find out if the hypothesis is true or not, and we should simply conclude we are living in the real universe. Of course, there are some who suggest that there is evidence that our reality is a simulation: Unfortunately, the interview in the above YouTube is with Anthony Peake, who as far as I can tell is just another of the many promoters of pseudoscience. I remain skeptical.
Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Nick Bostrom - The Simulation Argument
Posted by Nick
at 3:50 AM