tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-542518648627849085.post7777619296222229539..comments2024-02-11T06:00:30.938-07:00Comments on Skeptical Eye: Now Taking Bets, Romney 5:1 to WinNickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09991410496107221875noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-542518648627849085.post-91828603214746888422012-02-04T15:04:11.710-07:002012-02-04T15:04:11.710-07:00Obama is probably not going anywhere...
Historica...Obama is probably not going anywhere...<br /><br />Historically, job approval ratings of 40% or higher are enough for an incumbent to maintain a voting majority. Obama still leads Romney in nearly every battleground state, and Obama has much more enthusiastic support among Democrats than Romney has among Republicans (which often is an indicator of how well a candidate's supporters will turn out for an election).<br /><br />Romney is the most financially adept Republican, but he's still behind Obama, who doesn't have to split his party's supporters with other candidates. There's no reason to believe right now that Romney will have more money Obama by the time the conventions roll around.<br /><br />I called it last year and I haven't seen anything to go against my prediction: Obama will get re-elected in 2012. I won't be voting for him, but it's pretty obvious, if you look at the data. It would take some major event to change this outcome.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02504734487692109101noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-542518648627849085.post-3551419012655860032012-02-04T09:21:19.567-07:002012-02-04T09:21:19.567-07:00To my understand Obama is well below 50% in most s...To my understand Obama is well below 50% in most states, not looking good for him come election with Romney ready to battle with lots of money and negative ads like he ran against Newt. Obama will crash and burn comes november.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com